References


First Primary Melanoma Risk

Development and external validation of a melanoma risk prediction model based on self-assessed risk factors.

Vuong K, Armstrong BK, Weiderpass E, Lund E, Adami H, Veierod MB, Barrett JH, Davies JR, Bishop DT, Whiteman DC, Olsen CM, Hopper JL, Mann GJ, Cust AE, McGeechan K, Australian Melanoma Family Study Investigators. JAMA Dermatol. 2016 Aug 1;152(8):889-96. doi: 10.1001/jamadermatol.2016.0939. PMID: 27276088

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Sentinel Node Metastasis Risk

Improved risk prediction calculator for sentinel node positivity in patients with melanoma: the Melanoma Institute Australia nomogram.

Lo SN, Ma J, Scolyer RA, Haydu LE, Stretch JR, Saw RPM, Nieweg OE, Shannon KF, Spillane AJ, Ch’ng S, Mann GJ, Gershenwald JE, Thompson JF, Varey AHR. J Clin Oncol. 2020 Jun 12:JCO1902362. doi: 10.1200/JCO.19.02362. Online ahead of print. PMID: 32530761

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Predicting sentinel node positivity in melanoma patients: external validation of a risk‐prediction calculator (the MIA nomogram) using a large European population‐based patient cohort

Mary-Ann El Sharouni, Alexander H. R. Varey, Arjen J. Witkamp, Tasnia Ahmed, Vigfús Sigurdsson, Paul J. van Diest, Richard A. Scolyer, John F. Thompson, Serigne N. Lo, Carla H. van Gils. British Journal of Dermatology [Epub ahead of print]

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Global Applicability of a Risk Prediction Tool for Sentinel Node Positivity in Patients With Primary Cutaneous Melanoma.

Lo SN, Gjorup C, Chakera AH, Hölmich LR, Moncrieff M, MacKenzie Ross A, Cassell O, Ma J, Weitemeyer MB, Olofsson Bagge R, Klausen S, Calsavara VF, Duprat Neto JP, Bertolli E, Ch'ng S, Saw RPM, Shannon KF, Spillane AJ, Nieweg OE, Stretch JR, Mann GJ, Geh JLC, Haydu LE, Martin RCW, Sharon C, Karakousis GC, Kashani-Sabet M, Adigbli G, El Sharouni MA, Gershenwald JE, Scolyer RA, Thompson JF, Varey AHR. JAMA Dermatol. 2025 Jun 1;161(6):589-596. doi: 10.1001/jamadermatol.2025.0318. PMID: 40202725; PMCID: PMC11983294.

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Subsequent Primary Melanoma Risk

A risk prediction model for the development of subsequent primary melanoma in a population-based cohort.

Cust AE, Badcock C, Smith J, Thomas NE, Haydu LE, Armstrong BK, Law MH, Thompson JF, Kanetsky PA, Begg CB, Shi Y, Kricker A, Orlow I, Sharma A, Yoo S, Leong SF, Berwick M, Ollila DW, Lo S. Br J Dermatol. 2020 May;182(5):1148-1157. doi: 10.1111/bjd.18524. PMID: 31520533

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Thin Melanoma Recurrence Risk

Development and Validation of Nomograms to Predict Local, Regional, and Distant Recurrence in Patients With Thin (T1) Melanomas

Mary-Ann El Sharouni, Tasnia Ahmed, Alexander H. R. Varey, Sjoerd G. Elias, Arjen J. Witkamp, Vigfús Sigurdsson, Karijn P. M. Suijkerbuijk, Paul J. van Diest, Richard A. Scolyer, Carla H. van Gils, John F. Thompson, Willeke A. M. Blokx, and Serigne N. Lo. J Clin Oncol

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Stage II Survival Prediction

Predicting Recurrence-Free and Overall Survival for Patients With Stage II Melanoma: The MIA Calculator.

Varey AHR, Li I, El Sharouni MA, Simon J, Dedeilia A, Ch'ng S, Saw RPM, Spillane AJ, Shannon KF, Pennington TE, Rtshiladze M, Stretch JR, Nieweg OE, van Akkooi A, Sullivan RJ, Boland GM, Gershenwald JE, van Diest PJ, Scolyer RA, Long GV, Thompson JF, Lo SN. J Clin Oncol. 2024 Feb 5:JCO2301020. doi: 10.1200/JCO.23.01020. Online ahead of print. PMID: 38315961

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Immunotherapy Outcomes Prediction

Clinical Models to Define Response and Survival With Anti-PD-1 Antibodies Alone or Combined With Ipilimumab in Metastatic Melanoma.

Pires da Silva I, Ahmed T, McQuade JL, Nebhan CA, Park JJ, Versluis JM, Serra-Bellver P, Khan Y, Slattery T, Oberoi HK, Ugurel S, Haydu LE, Herbst R, Utikal J, Pföhler C, Terheyden P, Weichenthal M, Gutzmer R, Mohr P, Rai R, Smith JL, Scolyer RA, Arance AM, Pickering L, Larkin J, Lorigan P, Blank CU, Schadendorf D, Davies MA, Carlino MS, Johnson DB, Long GV, Lo SN, Menzies AM. J Clin Oncol. 2022 Feb 10:JCO2101701. doi: 10.1200/JCO.21.01701.

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Adjuvant Therapy Prediction

A dynamic recurrence risk prediction tool for adjuvant therapy in stage III melanoma.

Boutros A, Taylor AM, Li I, Adegoke NA, Wong T, Varey AHR, Shannon KF, Ch'ng S, Saw RPM, Pennington T, Stretch J, Spillane A, van Akkooi ACJ, Scolyer RA, Pires da Silva I, Carlino MS, Long GV, Lo SN, Menzies AM. A dynamic recurrence risk prediction tool for adjuvant therapy in stage III melanoma. Eur J Cancer. 2025 Sep 12;229:115782. doi: 10.1016/j.ejca.2025.115782. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 40966900.

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